Friday, June 21, 2019

Not Out of the Iranian Woods, Yet

Christopher Jon Bjerknes

President Trump reportedly called off a retaliatory strike against Iran. That was a wise choice, but does it signify that the likelihood of war is now far less than it was? I doubt it.

Every day that passes without a war is a good day. That said, we should watch what happens in the coming weeks for signs of a troop build up surrounding Iran. It would be stupid to hit Iran without first massing troops around the nation. Furthermore, the US would be ill advised to instigate a war without generating popular support among the American People and the allies of the United States, which does not presently exist.

Before waging war in the Persian Gulf, the Allies of America would probably begin to massively increase their reserves of oil and secure the Saudi Arabian military. An increase in oil shipping would indicate that this is occurring. America would also likely increase domestic oil production.

The winds of war are still whirling. If Iran is in on the game, they will begin threatening not only the US, but Israel, as well. And they will boast of their enrichment of weapons grade nuclear materials.

Israel will probably use the situation as a pretext to demand more military handouts from America. The news cycles will rock back and forth to play upon the emotions of the American public and make it impossible for them to decipher what is real and what is not. It is a process of attrition. The constant barrage takes it toll on the psyche of the American People and the lulls only intensify the magnitude of the horrific moments.

They are obviously trying to amplify the impatience of the world for some final result to occur. The odds that it will be peace seem low at this time, most unfortunately.

Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Is the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammad bin Salman Being Pressured to Attack Iran?

Christopher Jon Bjerknes

Agnes Callamard of the United Nations stated that there is credible evidence that the government of Saudi Arabia committed the premeditated murder of Jamal Khashoggi. She calls for a criminal investigation into the matter:

This places the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammad bin Salman in a very awkward position. The government of the United States and the press could exploit this opportunity to pressure the Crown Prince into attacking Iran. They could potentially promise him that they would use their influence to suppress this proposed United Nations investigation and/or its findings if, and only if, he wages war against Iran. Recall that the United States pressured Saddam Hussein into attacking Iran and then Kuwait.